Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.001421 0.001513 0.001608 0.001713 0.001827 0.001946 0.002080
2024-10-13 0.001295 0.001422 0.001557 0.001712 0.001887 0.002077 0.002300
2024-10-20 0.001180 0.001326 0.001487 0.001677 0.001897 0.002143 0.002443
2024-10-27 0.001107 0.001268 0.001450 0.001671 0.001934 0.002236 0.002615
2024-11-03 0.001017 0.001185 0.001377 0.001615 0.001905 0.002246 0.002683
2024-11-10 0.000978 0.001157 0.001366 0.001630 0.001957 0.002352 0.002870
2024-11-17 0.000929 0.001114 0.001333 0.001614 0.001970 0.002408 0.002995
2024-11-24 0.000900 0.001093 0.001325 0.001629 0.002019 0.002509 0.003179
2024-12-01 0.000855 0.001049 0.001286 0.001600 0.002011 0.002535 0.003265
2024-12-08 0.000819 0.001016 0.001259 0.001586 0.002018 0.002580 0.003376
2024-12-15 0.000788 0.000987 0.001236 0.001574 0.002029 0.002628 0.003493
2024-12-22 0.000764 0.000966 0.001222 0.001573 0.002053 0.002694 0.003635
2024-12-29 0.000733 0.000936 0.001197 0.001561 0.002064 0.002750 0.003775
2025-01-05 0.000709 0.000915 0.001182 0.001561 0.002093 0.002831 0.003955
2025-01-12 0.000675 0.000878 0.001146 0.001530 0.002077 0.002846 0.004039
2025-01-19 0.000652 0.000857 0.001130 0.001525 0.002097 0.002913 0.004204
2025-01-26 0.000616 0.000815 0.001083 0.001475 0.002049 0.002879 0.004211
2025-02-02 0.000603 0.000806 0.001080 0.001488 0.002093 0.002982 0.004435
2025-02-09 0.000582 0.000784 0.001060 0.001474 0.002097 0.003024 0.004563
2025-02-16 0.000571 0.000776 0.001058 0.001487 0.002140 0.003128 0.004798
2025-02-23 0.000549 0.000750 0.001031 0.001462 0.002124 0.003138 0.004877
2025-03-02 0.000532 0.000732 0.001013 0.001448 0.002126 0.003176 0.005005
2025-03-09 0.000516 0.000715 0.000997 0.001438 0.002132 0.003220 0.005145